The Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-4, 2-3 Big 12) and the 7th-ranked TCU Horned Frogs (8-0, 5-0) meet in a Saturday conference contest. Kickoff at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth is scheduled for noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Texas Tech vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
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Texas Tech lost at home to Baylor 45-17 last Saturday. The Red Raiders completed just 7 more passes (12) than they had intercepted (5) in losing for the 3rd time in their last 4 games. TTU’s 17 points marked its fewest in a home game against an unranked team since Dec. 5, 2020.
Texas Christian — No. 7 in the College Football Playoff rankings — won at West Virginia last Saturday to remain unbeaten. TCU covered a 7-point spread with a 41-31 victory. Senior QB Max Duggan threw for 341 yards and 3 scores and has now thrown for 3-or-more TDs in 6 of his last 7 games.
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TCU 35, Texas Tech 24
TCU defeated TTU 52-31 last season (Oct. 9, 2021) and has won 3 straight games in the series.
The Frogs are fighting for CFP respect, and they have to have this game at home. But the -320 ML price carries too much of a premium. PASS.
Duggan leads the better passing attack in this matchup. And TCU also has more balance on offense.
The Raiders are looser in yielding more havoc plays, and that could well figure into some field-position tilt for an already more-talented Frogs roster.
TAKE TCU -8.5 (-108).
Both teams sport defensive success-rate analytics better than their surface points- and yardage-allowed figures. Texas Tech has done very well in keeping a lid on the end zone in red-zone stands.
BACK UNDER 69 (-108).
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